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Friday, July 3, 2009

Ascentia SKY - Preview Soon



One of the most desirable city area locations, facing Tanglin GCB yet positioned to live conveniently near an existing MRT station.



SUPER HIGH-RISE ARCHITECTURE - BOLD & TRENDY DESIGN

- 1st Level E-deck facilities
> Grand Arrival Plaza
> Rejuvenate E-deck - 50m lap pool
> Pavilion Promenade

- Multiple lifestyle sky gardens with themed facilities
> Level 3 with Stardust Gourment Club
> Level 7 with Cosmos Snooker Loft and Games Loft
> Level 12 with Rainbow Play Zone
> Level 17 with Astro Interactive Loft and Leisure Loft
> Level 22 with Supernova Fitness Suite
> Level 26 with i-Quiz Loft and iQuest Loft
> Level 31 with Vanda Tea Garden
> Level 36 with Starlight Reflection Loft and Relaxation Loft
> Level 41 with Zen Fitness Garden
> Level 45 with Cloud9 Banquet Penthouse Suite

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Analysts say S'pore property market could pick up this year

Posted by goldenpeace on 20-May-2009

Brokerage DBS Vickers said the Singapore private property market could pick up this year.
In a research report, the firm said the prices of mass market private homes are likely to rise by the second half of this year if demand continues to hold.

Mid-tier private residential homes, meanwhile, could see price stability towards the later part of the year.

However, DBS Vickers added that the high-end segment will remain subdued for at least the next few months.

The brokerage noted that developers have launched more new homes for sale in April, with buyers eyeing a wide variety of projects in different locations.

Last Friday, data released by the Urban Redevelopment Authority showed that private home sales for April remained strong, with some 1,200 units sold.

Source : CNA – 18 May 2009

Monday, May 18, 2009

More property launches on buying interest

Posted by goldenpeace on 18-May-2009

DEVELOPERS are riding the wave of buying interest to launch more units.

CapitaLand yesterday released 100 two and three-bedroom units at The Wharf Residence, a 999-year leasehold condominium near Mohamed Sultan Road which comprises 173 apartments and 13 shophouses.

The group sold 85 units – mostly two-bedders – at an average price of between $1,300 and $1,600 per square foot (psf).

Sizes of two-bedroom units start at 1,012 sq ft. Assuming a price of $1,300 psf, one would cost about $1.32 million.

Some of the 100 units released yesterday were the remainder from an earlier launch.

According to Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) records, CapitaLand introduced 80 units to the market in July last year and sold 24 until September that year at median prices above $1,500 psf.

The Wharf Residence is expected to receive its temporary occupation permit in 2013.
CapitaLand is offering buyers a package deal of stamp duty absorption and interest absorption.

BT understands that those who do not take up this package may get to pay up to 8 per cent less.

CapitaLand could make more units available today as the launch stretches into the weekend.

The release of more units at The Wharf Residence comes as activity in the higher end of the property market is starting to stir. According to URA’s April statistics, buyers snapped up 64 units out of 75 launched at Bukit Sembawang Estates’ Verdure at Holland Road. The median price of the transactions was $1,416 psf.

‘Sentiment is better now,’ said Knight Frank executive director (residential) Peter Ow. Some buyers feel that property prices have dropped enough, he added.

And even if prices have not bottomed, they believe that there is probably ‘no harm in going in now, rather than letting money sit in the bank’. Some buyers are also worried about missing out on a real estate recovery, he said.

Separately, Frasers Centrepoint mentioned at its results briefing last week that it will launch its Woodleigh project in July or August this year. Prices will be at a level that ‘the market will accept’, said its chief executive, Lim Ee Seng.

The company’s Caspian at Lakeside has seen strong take-up since its launch in February. Of the 712 units in the development, 611 had been sold as at May 7, Frasers Centrepoint said.

Source : Business Times – 16 May 2009

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Prices creep up after property's long dive

Posted by goldenpeace on 13-May-2009

Some developers have quietly started raising prices a notch as they test waters after strong sales volumes seen in the first quarter.

Price adjustments are often made by reducing discount levels. On a project average basis, the effective prices for some developments may have gone up between 2 and 5 per cent compared with levels earlier this year, according to developers and property consultants.

‘Developers aren’t raising prices overnight. Prices are being adjusted only after clear buying momentum has set in for a project. If you look at the first and last units sold in the project, the price difference could be, say, 10 per cent; but if you look on a project average basis, the price increase would be less than 5 per cent,’ says Knight Frank chairman Tan Tiong Cheng.

The recent stock market rally has generated its share of positive sentiment. Even so, property agents say that prices of only the better-selling units have been raised in some projects, while the others have seen more widespread rises. ‘Developers are careful; if they push up prices too fast, potential buyers may start looking at other projects,’ one agent said.

The recent price adjustments have to be viewed against the significant price declines before that, seasoned players point out. For instance, Q1 2009 prices of mass-market condos were about 10 per cent off the peak levels in late 2007/early 2008, while for luxury condos, the price decline was steeper, at around 30-40 per cent.

DTZ executive director Ong Choon Fah says that developers started to inch up prices in April and May from Q1 levels. ‘In the secondary market, sellers have been more aggressive; some are asking about 5 to 10 per cent more than in Q1,’ she added.

Property giant Far East Organization’s residential projects such as the Mi Casa condo in Choa Chu Kang, The Lakeshore in Jurong, Hillview Regency in Bukit Batok, Floridian at Bukit Timah Road (non-premium units), and Vida at Peck Hay Road are among those that have seen slight price gains lately.

Rival City Developments is also said to have incrementally raised prices for The Arte at Thomson as sales progressed briskly. The developer has sold more than 250 units since it previewed the mid-end project in March.

BT understands that prices of the remaining 80-plus units have been adjusted upwards slightly this week. The average price is now about $900 psf and the freehold project includes a mix of two-, three- and four-bedroom units.

Bukit Sembawang is also said to have introduced a single-digit per cent price hike for later units (apartments) at The Verdure at Holland Road after the initial batch of units were sold.

UOL Group and Kheng Leong are also understood to have upped prices selectively – for better-selling units – at The Double Bay Residences in Simei.

A major developer said: ‘Demand is better now. People are prepared to come to the negotiating table and not baulk at prices, compared with last year when it was very difficult to even get buyers to sit down. I think there’s a sense that the worst is over.’

He says that the quantum of price appreciation that a developer can achieve in the current market will hinge on a project’s location, the nature of the development and the profile of its buyers. ‘For instance, for a prime district project with a lot of small units costing $1-2 million each, you can adjust prices a bit more, especially if you have a fair number of foreign buyers,’ according to the developer. ‘Mainland Chinese buyers are more optimistic, and can accept price hikes better as they have seen an upturn in their own property market,’ he added.

Mr Tan says that there’s currently a ’sweet spot’ in the Singapore market for projects priced below $1,000 psf and on a lump-sum basis costing $1 million to $1.2 million per unit (for three-bedroom units) and $800,000 and below (for two-bedroom units). Their prices can take a sub-10 per cent increase without affordability being seriously dented.

Mr Tan argues that a small price increase will not generally price buyers out of the market or send them to the sidelines again – ‘especially if they think the worst is over and don’t want to miss the boat’.

‘Even if the view is that we’re not at the bottom yet, there seems to be a greater sense of price stability now. The thinking now is that if prices drop a further 5 or 10 per cent, can I live with it? Three months ago, there seemed to be no bottom,’ Mr Tan recalls.

Agreeing, CB Richard Ellis executive director (residential) Joseph Tan says: ‘Once people are more confident, they can accept the fact that price may be higher, but in an improving situation. If I believe the market has bottomed, the closer I buy to the bottom, the better it is for me. That sort of thinking is also being fuelled by the stock market rally; traditionally the residential property market lags the stock market by three to six months.’

Source : Business Times – 13 May 2009

Sunday, May 10, 2009

Payment collected for 98% of sold RiverGate units

Posted by goldenpeace on 10-May-2009

PAYMENT has been collected for 98 per cent of the 542 condo units sold at CapitaLand’s RiverGate project since Temporary Occupation Permit (TOP) was obtained in March, the developer said yesterday.

Payment collection for the remaining 2 per cent, or 11 sold units, is ongoing, and the buyers have been served notice to pay up. The 11 units were ‘all sold separately to individual buyers under the deferred payment scheme (DPS)’, a CapitaLand spokeswoman said.

More than 90 per cent of the 542 RiverGate units sold were under DPS, she added. CapitaLand developed the 545-unit freehold condo in the Robertson Quay area through a 50:50 joint venture with Hwa Hong Corporation.

Asked what CapitaLand will do regarding the 11 buyers that have not paid up, the spokeswoman said: ‘For genuine homebuyers who may face difficulties meeting the payment obligations, we will address these on a case-by-case basis. We will see how we can lend our assistance within the constraints of the obligations under the securitisation structure.’

The progress payments and deferred payment receivables for sold units were securitised through special purpose vehicle Okeanos Investment Corporation, which in January 2007 issued US$477 million ($731 million) of floating rate notes due 2011.

With the proceeds collected for RiverGate so far, the US$477 million of notes are expected to be fully redeemed by the expected maturity date in June 2009, CapitaLand said in a statement yesterday.

RiverGate buyers who opted for DPS paid 20 per cent of the apartments’ price when booking them. Upon obtaining TOP, a further 65 per cent of the price is payable, with the balance of 15 per cent to be paid once the development obtains a Certificate of Statutory Completion and legal completion status from the authorities.

The 43-storey freehold project was launched in phases, with the initial phase in 2005 priced at $1,080 per square foot on average, and the final phase in 2006 priced at $1,600 psf on average. Units in the project have recently changed hands at about $1,200-1,380 psf.

Among those who bought RiverGate units from the developers is property fund manager Ferrell, which acquired 100 units in two tranches – 80 around Chinese New Year in 2005 and 20 later that year.

RiverGate is the first residential project in Singapore to be accorded landmark status by the Urban Redevelopment Authority in recognition of its strategic location and cutting-edge architectural design, CapitaLand pointed out yesterday.

‘At 43 storeys, the development towers above the predominantly 10-storey buildings in the vicinity,’ it said. ‘Against this urban landscape, the majority of RiverGate’s apartments enjoy views of the river and the business district city-scape.’

Source : Business Times – 8 May 2009

Thursday, May 7, 2009

Will property recover faster than expected?

Posted by goldenpeace on 07-May-2009

MARKET turning points are very hard to spot. A recent example was the March 9 market bottom. Then, the world seemed a bleak place: we were in for a prolonged depression; banks were going to fail; many companies were going bankrupt and millions were going to lose their jobs and stay unemployed for years. That period also coincided with a spate of bad news from the Chinese companies listed in Singapore - the so-called S-chips. The cash wasn’t in the banks. The founders were losing control over their companies because they’d pledged their shares to financial institutions. Profit was overstated, and the companies’ status as going concerns was in question. One by one, the S-chips were getting suspended.

Under the never-ending onslaught of bad news, many investors threw in the towel and cashed out. By February, cash sitting on the sidelines was at its highest in more than 10 years. Government statistics showed that the amount of deposits of non-bank customers with domestic banking units and deposits with finance companies was equivalent to 99 per cent of the aggregate market value of all the stocks listed on the Singapore Exchange (SGX). The previous peak was in 2002, when the cash/market cap ratio was 91 per cent.

History has shown that such a high level of cash holdings portends strong upside in the equities market. The rebound did eventually come - almost out of the blue - and took many by surprise. The recovery - fuelled by sightings of ‘green shoots’ in the economy - has lasted eight weeks and equity prices have gained more than 40 per cent. But through it all, many analysts and fund managers still doubt the sustainability of the recovery.

So what do we make of the projections of most property consultants that private residential property will slump by 25-35 per cent this year? The forecasts suggest more downside for the rest of the year given that prices fell ‘only’ 14.1 per cent in the first quarter. But like the pundits in the stock market, there is a possibility that these consultants too will miss the market turning point. For one, the stock market leads the property market by 4-8 months. If the stock market remains buoyant, then there is a probability that the property market too will stabilise. And, as noted earlier, there is a lot of cash waiting to get into the market.

Already, there are signs that US real estate - the source of the current global financial crisis - is recovering. According to The New York Times, Sacramento (among the first US cities to fall victim to the real estate collapse) has seen investors and first-time buyers out in force competing for bargain-price foreclosures. Sales are up 45 per cent from last year, and the vast backlog of inventory has diminished. Progress is also visible in other hard-hit areas.

If so, one shouldn’t be too quick to dismiss the hope that the US property slump, just like the stockmarket slump, may end sooner than the doomsters think.

Source : Business Times - 7 May 2009

Tuesday, May 5, 2009

Preview - Belle Vue Residences

Project Name: Belle Vue Residences
Development Type: Condominium with Full Facilities except no Tennis Court
Location: 15/17/19/21/23/25/27/31/33 Oxley Walk
District: 09
Tenure: Freehold
Expected TOP: End 2011
Total: 176 units in 9 Blocks of 5-Storey Building
Unit Mix: 4 units per floor with Private Lift access
Preview Block 15 ~ 2-Bedroom Villas approximate 1,400 sq ft & 2,300 sq ft
~ 3-Bedroom Villas approximate 1,800 sq ft to 3,500 sq ft
~ 4-Bedroom Waterfront Villas approximate 2,200 sq ft to 3,900 sq ft
Amenities: Near Dhoby Ghaut MRT and Plaza Singapura, short distance to Orchard

Inspired by Nature
Belle Vue Residences is designed to parallel nature's exquisite simplicity. Its' organically-shaped unit layout, offers a new living arrangement and horizontal spatial experience. The branching pattern creates more wall surfaces, making possible for more windows, giving each apartment a unique set of views and allowing residents to enjoy an abundance of natural light and better ventilation.

A Harmonious Landscape
Belle Vue Residences is also as much about transcending trends, forsaking conventional ideas and creative innovative living spaces. The landscaping is an active interplay of nature and architecture.

Located on high sprawling ground of almost 248,000 square feet, all apartments are imaginatively configured and set in a sensitively-cultivated environment of lush landscapes, pathways, tropical gardens, water features and a host of recreational facilities creating Singapore's most livable urban oasis.

Friday, May 1, 2009

Developers meet valuers in search for common ground

Posted by goldenpeace on 01-May-2009

Developers last week held a meeting with valuers amid recent complaints in some quarters that conservative valuations have derailed some home sale deals as potential buyers could not secure the required loan quantum from banks.

BT understands that the valuers disagreed with the developers that their valuations had been too conservative, and that it was the banks that were just not lending.

‘Generally, if there are transactions, we’ll match (with valuations). It’s the banks that are more cautious about lending to certain profiles of borrowers like investors, especially if they are foreigners,’ a valuer told BT.

The valuers also raised issues that they had been facing in recent months, such as a dearth of comparable transactions, and explained the methods that they use to arrive at valuations in such situations.

‘We explained that some banks require valuers to look at three comparable transactions, and how we generally do not take into account outlier transactions that may perhaps reflect ‘depressed’ prices,’ another valuer said.

Sources say that the meeting was amicable, drawing more than 20 valuers and heads of property consulting groups and the executive committee members of the Real Estate Developers Association of Singapore led by its president, Simon Cheong.

When contacted, a Redas spokesman said: ‘We wanted to better understand issues that valuers may have in their day-to-day valuation and what else the profession may need from developers to enable them to give (as) updated and relevant (a) valuation as possible.

‘The discussions were general in nature and discrepancies in valuations in some instances were highlighted and analysed. Valuers shared with us some of the constraints they are facing such as the lack of or insufficient comparable sales data and other issues.

‘The session was fruitful as it helped us understand one another better and we agreed to look into areas where communication and interaction could be improved upon.’

A property consultant told BT that he found it odd that the same banks that were willing to give a 75 per cent or 80 per cent loan on a high-end residential unit when it was priced at $2,000 psf (thus assuming an exposure for about $1,500 to $1,600 psf) are now reluctant to give even 50 or 60 per cent loan when the property is going for a much lower price of $1,200 psf (which works out to $600-720 psf exposure for the bank).

‘It’s particularly difficult for foreign buyers, even PRs in some instances, to get loans for investment properties. Banks are more willing to lend to Singaporeans buying residential properties for owner occupation.

‘Some of the bigger banks should take the lead and be more proactive in lending to property buyers, not just for entry-level but also luxury homes, given that spot prices have already come off about 40 per cent.’

Agreeing, another valuer said: ‘We provide the valuations. It’s up to the banks whether they want to lend, and how much. It’s a commercial decision for them.’

Giving his take on the challenges facing the profession, a senior valuer said: ‘We have to be as level headed as possible and (assign) a sensible value. Valuers play a very important role in the financial system and economy, as we’re marking everybody’s asset values.’

This was the first time Redas has met valuers as a group, at least in recent years, and this follows its maiden meeting in November with analysts in stockbroking research houses covering the sector.

Redas also holds regular dialogues with government agencies such as Urban Redevelopment Authority, and Building and Construction Authority. ‘Such dialogues provide learning opportunities for Redas and promote better understanding across the industry leading to a healthy property market,’ the association’s spokesman added.

Source : Business Times - 29 Apr 2009

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

S&P Global Property Index falls 19.8% in Q1

Posted by goldenpeace on 28-Apr-2009

Standard & Poor’s Global Property Index tumbled by a fifth in the first quarter of 2009, after a rally in emerging market real estate stocks failed to offset a lingering depression in more mature markets.

According to a report released yesterday, the S&P Global Property Index fell 19.8 per cent between January and March, as whispers of a property market revival were drowned out by worldwide recession worries. The S&P Developed Property Index, a large constituent of the global index, dropped 22.2 per cent on the back of big market declines in North America. Europe and Asia Pacific suffered falls of 18.2 and 15.6 per cent, respectively. Austrian property stocks posted an extraordinary quarterly return of 20.3 per cent, largely due to volatility in the share price of Immoeast AG , whose price has soared 123 per cent in Q1.

The picture was somewhat healthier in emerging markets, with the S&P Emerging Property Index posting a 7.8 per cent return. Israel was one of the strongest performers in this sector with a 33 per cent return. ‘It has been a tough first quarter, with the comeback in emerging market indices providing little relief overall,’ said Alka Banerjee, vice-president of S&P Index Services.

Source : Business Times - 28 Apr 2009

Govt unveils sustainable development blueprint for next decade

Posted by goldenpeace on 28-Apr-2009

Despite the economic downturn, Singapore is soldiering on with a new blueprint for sustainable development for the next 10-20 years.

Under the plan, at least 80 per cent of all buildings in Singapore will be energy-efficient by 2030.

This is part of a grand plan, which aims to make Singapore a “lively and livable” city without straining natural resources. Some $1 billion will be spent for the first five years.

Up above some flats in Serangoon, solar panels are tapping the sun’s energy, which is then used to power the common areas below. The Housing and Development Board (HDB) said that so far the results are promising.

Dr Wong Liang Heng, HDB’s deputy director for sustainability & building research, said: “It’s actually part of HDB’s big plans to try to reduce energy consumption for HDB estates. However, solar… is still quite expensive, but we still want to test it out to learn more about this technology and also to build capability in Singapore.”

HDB will roll out this project to 28 existing precincts and two new ones. It will be the largest solar test bed programme in Singapore, costing some S$31 million.

This pilot project is part of an ambitious plan to reduce energy consumption by a third by 2030 and to raise the overall recycling rate and public transport share - both to 70 per cent.

Half a billion dollars is available to retrofit public sector buildings, while the private sector can tap on a S$100 million incentive scheme to do the same.

All new government sector buildings will have to achieve the highest Green Mark accolade - the Green Mark Platinum award.

And buildings in four new strategic growth areas will also have to meet the highest Green Mark rating. These areas are Marina Bay and Downtown Core, Jurong Gateway in Jurong Lake District, Kallang Riverside and Paya Lebar Central.

The requirement will reduce the areas’ energy consumption by 25 per cent. The sustainable development road map allows for the building of more cycling tracks and greater use of clean transport and technology to make this possible.

For example, S$43 million will be invested into implementing cycling networks in selected HDB towns over the next five years.

The blueprint was unveiled by the Inter-Ministerial Committee for Sustainable Development, chaired by both National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan and Environment and Water Resources Minister Yaacob Ibrahim.

The committee, set up in January last year, consulted extensively with various groups to put together a clear national strategy in the context of emerging domestic and global challenges.

Mr Mah said: “This is a long-term commitment, we are facing economic difficulties, there is a downturn at the moment, but we need to launch this blueprint even in this not so good time because sustainable development is a long-term challenge.

“What we enjoy today is what was put in place many years ago. So if you want to face the challenges of the future, you really have to start now, you really have to start today and it’s going to take us a long time.”

Dr Yaacob said: “These targets are what we have worked out from the bottom up with various stakeholders and we are confident that we can achieve this. We will take a five-year period to review as we go along because things may improve, technology may offer new solutions and then we will revise it accordingly.”

The spinoff to all this is a “green collar workforce”, which will see some 18,000 “green specialists” trained over the next 10 years in the development, design and maintenance of green
buildings.

They will form the core of the new “clean tech” sector, which will develop through an R&D park at Jalan Bahar for test-bedding such technologies.

Source : CNA - 27 Apr 2009

Sunday, April 26, 2009

Good time to buy?

Posted by goldenpeace on 26-Apr-2009

Real estate worldwide has been hard hit by the global downturn.

Home prices in some foreign cities have fallen sharply, as a result of tighter credit and the difficulty some owners face in servicing their mortgages. Their fall, coupled with the relatively strong Singapore dollar, has made it more attractive for Singaporeans to land their dream home overseas.

Investing in a property overseas involves a fair amount of risk. But for those who have the stomach for it, this may be a good time to scout around for a holiday home in Sydney, a retirement villa in Penang, an investment property in London, and more attractive buys in other cities.

Source : Sunday Times - 26 Apr 2009

Home in on malaysia

Posted by goldenpeace on 26-Apr-2009

An over-supply plus gloomy market sentiment are adding up to a rare buying opportunity for investors in Kuala Lumpur, particularly in the prime KL City Centre (KLCC) area.

Dr Lee Ville, president of ERA Malaysia, said: ‘In my personal view, the property market sentiment (of KL) is at its lowest since 2004.

‘This sentiment has sparked a price drop in the KLCC and Mont Kiara locality.’

He gave an example of Kiaraville, a development in Mont Kiara.

‘It was launched in 2005 at RM380 (S$158) per sq ft (psf) and today, there are some units being sold…as low as RM500 psf.’

At the peak, transactions of the property were in the region of RM600 psf, he said.

Mr Ivan Hoh, executive director of PropNex International, said: ‘We are seeing a slowdown in property prices in KL’s prime areas…we have seen a 15 per cent drop from last year.’

He added that ‘many Singaporeans like to buy in areas like Bangsar, Damansara, Mont Kiara, Bukit Bintang and KLCC area’.

‘As this is the capital city of Malaysia, rental yields are better than in other states.

‘Yields in the current market are about 5 per cent to 7 per cent, depending on the selling price of the property,’ Mr Hoh said.

TA Properties’ Idaman Residence, a luxury condominium in KLCC priced from RM950 psf, has units for sale.

Prices for its Idaman Villas, double-storey semi-detached units in the Damansara region with a built-up area of 3,692 sq ft or more each, start from RM500 psf.

Dr Ville said: ‘With current market sentiment, KL properties are at their most affordable and attractive.’

Penang market

Penang is a frequently overlooked but promising state for property investment. Its capital George Town, together with Malacca, received a Unesco World Heritage Site listing last year.

Mr See Kok Loong, director of Metro Homes, said home prices at Seberang Prai, which is on the mainland of Peninsular Malaysia, ‘have been low for many years’ due to ample land and lower purchasing power.

He said a standard terrace house on the mainland could cost between RM200,000 and RM250,000 whereas on the island, ‘where the prime area’ is, terrace houses could cost above RM500,000.

Dr Ville said: ‘There are high-end luxury condominiums along Gurney Drive such as Silverton, Regency, Millennium and 11 Gurney.

‘These fetch anywhere between RM450 psf and RM550 psf.’

Knight Frank Research said gross yields of upper-middle and high-end condominium units in Penang range between 4.5 and 6.5 per cent.

Property giant SP Setia is launching the third phase of Setia Vista - 29 two-storey terrace units with a built-up area of 1,700 sq ft each. Prices start from RM618,880.

Dr Ville said: ‘It is a great place to live or retire. After all, prices remain relatively cheap compared to the rest of our Asian neighbours.’

Source : Sunday Times - 26 Apr 2009

Private home prices spiral further downward

Posted by goldenpeace on 26-Apr-2009


PRICES of private homes fell off a cliff in the first quarter, continuing a dramatic slide that has now wiped out the gains owners have made since 2007.

Values dived 14.1 per cent in the first three months this year - the biggest fall on record - and followed a 6.1 per cent slide in the last quarter of last year.

Figures from the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) yesterday also point to pain in the residential rent market and in the office sector.

But the plight of the private home sector caught most attention. The first-quarter fall was worse than an initial URA estimate of 13.8 per cent, indicating the slide accelerated towards the end of the quarter.

The souring of the market has been fast and furious. Prices had been rising for four years and were still going north until as late as September of last year but then the rot set in.

Price declines have been registered in three consecutive quarters with the fall in the first three months of this year the worst since the URA began keeping data in 1975. Private homes on the city fringes suffered the most, with prices down 17 per cent, compared with 16.2 per cent in the city centre and 7.3 per cent for suburban residences.

The hefty gains over the past two years have been erased, so owners who bought after the first quarter of 2007 could see their home’s valuation fall below the purchase price, said Colliers International’s director for research and advisory, Ms Tay Huey Ying.

Rents for private homes also kept falling and at a faster rate. They plunged 8.5 per cent in the first quarter compared with a 5.3 per cent decline in the last three months of 2008. Rents of non-landed prime homes fell the most, at 10.3 per cent.

HDB resale flats showed more resilience with prices inching lower by just 0.8 per cent in the first quarter - the first fall since the third quarter of 2006.

But there was a sliver of good news. Sales of new homes in the first quarter were a robust 2,596 units, driven by pent-up demand, price cuts and innovative product packaging, experts said.

The mass market sector was most active with upgraders picking up many units to help lessen the rate of price fall in suburban areas, said Knight Frank consultancy and research director Nicholas Mak. Developer sales in suburban areas reached 1,637 units in the first quarter, almost as many as were sold last year, he said.

But the prime market accounted for only a meagre 9.5 per cent of all developer sales. And sales in the resale and sub-sale markets remained weak.

‘Property really depends on the economy, and the economy around the world and in Singapore still looks pretty weak.’ National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan told Bloomberg in Vietnam yesterday.

Mr Mak expects private home prices and rents to contract sharply in the first half of the year but the rate of decline will decelerate.

Singapore’s office market also took a beating in the first quarter. Rents slid 10.7 per cent, the biggest fall since the first quarter of 1992, while prices fell 12 per cent. Take-up contracted for the second consecutive quarter and for the first time since late 2006, the islandwide vacancy rate hit 10 per cent.

Source : ST - 25 Apr 2009

Friday, April 24, 2009

Property sales and rentals down in Q1 2009

Posted by goldenpeace on 24-Apr-2009

Singapore: Property prices across the board were down in the first quarter of 2009.

Official figures released Friday showed that in the private property market, residential, office, shop and industrial properties decreased fetched lower prices both in terms of sales and rentals.

As for HDB’s Resale Price Index (RPI) for public housing, it showed a fall by 0.8% in 1st Quarter 2009 over the previous quarter. This comes after an increase of 1.4% in 4th Quarter 2008.

There was an increase in resale transactions from 6,186 cases in 4th Quarter 2008 to about 6,446 cases in 1st Quarter 2009, but this increase is slightly lower at 1.4% compared to 1st Quarter 2008.

The HDB data also revealed that the median Cash-Over-Valuation (COV) amount for all resale transactions has been declining since 1st Quarter 2008.

In 1st Quarter 2009, it fell to $4,000, which is $11,000 lower than that in 4th Quarter 2008.

As for the rental of government flats by owners, the numbers in the 1st Quarter remained the same as previous quarter for the smaller flats, but fell by $100 to $200 for 4-room and larger units.

The number of subletting transactions also fell by 4.3% from 3,685 cases in 4th Quarter 2008 to 3,525 cases in 1st Quarter 2009, even though the total number of flats approved for subletting rose to about 22,800 units as at 1st Quarter 2009.

In the private property sector, overall prices for residential units fell by 14.1% in 1st Quarter 2009, compared with the decline of 6.1% in the previous quarter.

Prices of non-landed properties fell by 15.1% in 1st Quarter 2009, compared with the decline of 6.3% in the previous quarter, with apartment prices falling by 15.9%, while those of condominiums fell by 14.7%.

Hardest hit was those in the Core Central Region(CCR) where the drop was by 16.2% while the Rest of Central Region(RCR) and Outside Central Region (OCR) fell by 17.0% and 7.3% respectively.

Rentals of non-landed properties in CCR, RCR and OCR also fell but not as sharply by 10.3%, 7.2% and 6.5% respectively in 1st Quarter 2009.

The drop was not as steep for landed property sales which fell by 9.2% in 1st Quarter 2009, compared with the decrease of 4.8% in the previous quarter.

Overall, the rental market for private properties fetched prices that were 8.5% in 1st Quarter 2009, compared with the decrease of 5.3% in the previous quarter.

The URA also reported in its latest release that as at the end of the 1st Quarter 2009, there was a total supply of 64,152 uncompleted units of private housing from projects in the pipeline.

Of these, 42,045 units remain unsold.

As for the 64,152 uncompleted units, 27,423 units were expected to be completed between 2nd quarter 2009 and 2011, and most are already under construction6.

The URA also said that developers have obtained planning approvals for for projects totaling some 4,000 units, but have yet to commence construction.

Source - CNA/sf

Thursday, April 23, 2009

Two signals speak volumes about condo prices

Posted by goldenpeace on 23-Apr-2009

THE Straits Times Index and cumulative unsold inventory held by developers have been found to be reliable indicators preceding major turning points for private apartment and condo prices in Singapore, according to a study by DTZ.

The STI has been observed to lead the Urban Redevelopment Authority’s non-landed private residential price index by one to four quarters since 1993.

For instance, the STI peaked in the third quarter of 2007 - nine months before the URA’s index peaked in Q2 2008.

Similarly, the cumulative unsold inventory of non-landed private homes - with sales licences - held by developers has peaked or bottomed between two to 12 quarters ahead of turning points in the URA’s index.

DTZ also devised an internal risk assessment model to estimate the probability of future major turning points in the Singapore residential market.

It showed the risk of entering a correction phase has escalated considerably since Q2 2008.

The property consulting group said: ‘Our assessment indicates that the probability of a full recovery by the end of 2009 - for the office and residential property markets in Hong Kong, China and Singapore - remains low.’ DTZ added: ‘Our internal model also indicates that the Singapore residential market has a higher chance of bottoming by mid-2010 (than by end-2009) and staging a gradual recovery from that point onwards.’

Both the Hong Kong and Singapore office markets have a lower probability of recovering by end-2010 than the residential markets in these two cities, as the office sector is more closely correlated with economic growth than the residential sector, DTZ reckons.

Asked whether the recent stockmarket rally will presage a recovery in home prices in Singapore, DTZ senior research director Chua Chor Hoon said: ‘It’s too early to say if the stockmarket rally will be sustained. A lot will hinge on when the economy recovers.’

Source : BT - 23 Apr 2009

Hopes of a quick turnaround in property market fizzling out

Posted by goldenpeace on 23-Apr-2009

Hopes of a quick turnaround in the property market here are fizzling out.

Property consultancy DTZ said the probability of a full recovery in the Singapore property market by the end of this year is low.

In a research report issued on Wednesday, DTZ predicted there is only a 0.1 per cent chance that the Singapore office rental market will recover by year-end.

The residential market here is not faring much better, with only a 0.9 per cent probability of recovery by the third quarter and a 5.8 per cent chance by the end of the year.

DTZ said the Singapore residential market has a better chance of bottoming by mid 2010 and stage a gradual recovery from then onwards.

It also expects the office market to lag the residential market in staging a recovery.
Factors that DTZ used in its forecast include Singapore’s stock market index and the cumulative unsold inventory held by developers.

Source : CNA - 22 Apr 2009

20 units of The Arte sold over weekend

Posted by goldenpeace on 23-Apr-2009

CITY Developments Ltd (CDL) sold 20 units at The Arte at Thomson over the weekend. This takes total sales since the property’s official launch to 170 units, with last weekend’s sales fetching a total of $30 million.

‘The sales volume indicates that buyers have greater confidence in the property market and in the future of their investment. This reinforces CDL’s view that the current market is now attracting savvy but cautious investors,’ said Chia Ngiang Hong, Group general manager of CDL.

Buyers’ interest was also evidenced by the strong turnover of over 1,000 visitors at The Arte’s showroom over the weekend.

Among other factors, these prospective buyers were drawn by the property’s location and proximity to a MRT station, according to a CDL release.

The Arte is located within the Thomson area with convenient connections to the City and the expressways. It is also a short walk from Toa Payoh MRT station.

Priced at $880 psf on average, the freehold project comprises two 36-storey towers and will be completed in 2012. Most of the 336 units available are going for under $2 million.

Buyers can opt for CDL’s interest absorption scheme (IAS), which allows them to defer the bulk of their purchase until The Arte’s completion on the condition that they take up a housing loan at the point of sale.

A majority of buyers of The Arte have private home addresses and many say they want to invest in another property or to move into a new and upscale residence.

Singaporeans’ renewed interest in private property saw the sales of 2,660 private homes in the first three months of 2009, which is about 62 per cent of total new home sales in 2008, according to the CDL release.

Source : ST - 21 Apr 2009

Friday, April 17, 2009

Home sales set to rise in 3 to 12 months: CDL

Posted by goldenpeace on 17-Apr-2009

PROPERTY developer City Developments (CDL) said yesterday that it expects increasing numbers of homebuyers to enter the market in the next three to 12 months.

Its optimism stems from the sale of more than 80 per cent - or 150 units - of its newly-launched development, The Arte at Thomson. CDL has put 180 units of the 336-unit project on sale.

It said The Arte was ‘a record breaker of sorts’, being one of the few large projects launched in the global economic meltdown ‘that has tasted success’.

CDLs’ statement comes on the heels of newly released data that showed 1,220 new private homes sold last month, just shy of the 1,332 units sold in February.

This makes two consecutive months with more than 1,000 units sold - the first time it has happened in a year.

First-quarter private home sales have hit 2,660 units - about 62 per cent of all of last year’s new home sales.

It has led some to speculate that the market has indeed turned a corner.

CDL said that ‘after absorbing news of forecasts of a steep decline in GDP growth for 2009, the upbeat in sales volume could mean that there is greater confidence that a turnaround is in sight - with a steady rise expected in the property market within the next three to 12 months’.

But analysts maintain that this level of buying may not be sustainable.

Knight Frank director of research and consultancy, Mr Nicholas Mak, has estimated that only 6,000 to 7,000 new private homes are expected to be sold this year, unless the Singapore economy and employment market improve significantly.

However, CDL’s group general manager, Mr Chia Ngiang Hong, said that recent launches have shown that ‘buyers are still willing to spend when they see value and see a good deal’.

Developers, prompted by the challenging economic conditions, have lowered selling prices - by between 5 to 25 per cent - and these factors have contributed to larger transaction volumes, said CDL.

Source : ST - 17 Apr 2009

Thursday, April 16, 2009

HDB prices on their way down

Posted by goldenpeace on 16-Apr-2009

GOOD news for home buyers eyeing the resale flat market: About one-third of HDB sales in the first quarter were struck at or below the flat’s valuation price.

The level in some areas was far higher. In Sengkang, for instance, up to three in four five-room flats sold by ERA Asia Pacific were done at or below valuation.

This means those buyers did not need upfront cash to buy their dream home.

Analysts say the trend indicates HDB flat prices are now coming down at a quicker rate after holding up better than many private residential properties.

In the recent market boom, many sellers sought prices well above valuation - a figure set by an independent valuer.

Buyers can use Central Provident Fund savings to pay for a flat only up to its valuation amount. They must stump up cash for any premium they pay above valuation.

The property agencies surveyed by The Straits Times, HSR Property Group, PropNex, ERA Asia Pacific and C&H Realty - which together account for almost the entire HDB market - said a significant 30 per cent to 40 per cent of first-quarter sales were done at or below valuation.

The agencies’ data showed prices crumbling for bigger flats such as five-roomers and executive flats. In Clementi, for instance, a five-room flat was sold for $70,000 below valuation at $500,000, while an executive flat in Tampines sold for $65,000 below its valuation at $515,000.

Industry observers say the HDB market, whose price trends typically lag behind those of the private sector, is finally reflecting the weakened economy.

Recent flash estimates showed HDB prices dipped 0.6 per cent in the first three months, compared with the fourth quarter of last year. It is the first fall since 2006.

Demand for resale flats has eased as the recession bites, while the HDB has been ramping up the supply of new flats, said Chesterton Suntec International head of research and consultancy Colin Tan. Home buyers also have more options now as prices of mass market condominiums are more affordable, he added.

ERA associate director Eugene Lim said home hunters were reluctant to pay more than $500,000 for HDB flats.

‘The longer these highly priced flats stay on the market, the more over-exposed they become. Consequently, some had to be sold at big discounts due to buyer resistance,’ he added.

The balance of power has now clearly shifted from sellers to buyers, with analysts saying this could be the time for buyers to do some bargain-hunting.

ERA’s first-quarter data showed that in locations such as Sengkang, a whopping 74 per cent of transactions for five-roomers were done at or below valuation. In Tampines, they accounted for 55 per cent while, at Jurong West, it was 42 per cent.

Even for smaller flat types like three-roomers in Ang Mo Kio and four-roomers at Woodlands, 42 per cent to 44 per cent of sales were at or below valuation.

Experts point out that while more flats are now selling below valuation, this does not mean people are selling at a loss as HDB prices rose a hefty 31.2 per cent in the property boom of the past two years. But first-time buyers, priced out of the resale market during the boom, will now find the flats more affordable.

The current discounts to valuation will eventually diminish when valuations catch up, which usually takes three months, said Knight Frank director of research and consultancy Nicholas Mak.

But there is a possibility of valuations and price falls chasing each other, further eroding prices, he said.

Source : ST - 16 Apr 2009

Some 4,000 show up at launch of DBSS project, The Peak @ Toa Payoh

Posted by goldenpeace on 16-Apr-2009

SINGAPORE: Some 4,000 people showed up at the launch of "The Peak at Toa Payoh" on Wednesday - a project under the HDB's design, build and sell scheme (DBSS).

There were some 100 people lining up outside the development even before it was launched at 8am.

Analysts said that's not a bad turnout especially since a premium five-room flat there costs more than S$700,000.

The development offers some condominium-style facilities. However, the project does not have swimming pools or gyms.

But it comes with a card-access security system at all ground-floor lift lobbies.

The Peak is the HDB's fifth DBSS project so far.

Source - CNA/vm

Wednesday, April 15, 2009

Private home sales hold up

Posted by goldenpeace on 15-Apr-2009

Property developers sold 1,220 new private residential units in March, said the Urban Redevelopment Authority on Wednesday.

This is a slight dip from the 1,332 units sold in February but the number still exceeds the 108 units sold in January.

The launch of Double Bay Residences in Simei provided some support to March sales - 264 units were sold, the highest among the more than 400 projects listed.

In total, developers launched 832 units in March. This is lower than the 1,072 in February.

Source : Business Times - 15 Apr 2009

Timing's everything for upgraders

Posted by goldenpeace on 15-Apr-2009

IN THE midst of Singapore’s worst recession, people are still buying property.

Private condominium sales reached a recent high of 1,323 units in February - the highest since the 1,731 units sold in August 2007, which was the peak of the recent property bull run.

And though official figures are not yet available, the buying frenzy seems to have continued into March.

According to a recent report by DTZ Research, seven out of 10 buyers in the first quarter of this year are HDB upgraders.

This is a jump from the 48 per cent registered in the fourth quarter last year, and the highest number since the 86 per cent achieved in the second quarter of 2002.

HDB upgraders are home buyers with HDB addresses looking to move up the property ladder. They typically buy into mass-market condos, usually in the suburbs.

Experts say the recent brisk sales indicate a ‘pent-up demand’ in the market, especially from buyers who held back during the recent property boom, when prices skyrocketed in 2006 to 2007.

They also point to a unique phenomenon that occurs in a property boom-and -bust cycle where the gap between the price of HDB resale flats and mass market condos has narrowed to an all-time low.

Private property prices fell a quarterly record of 13.8 per cent in the first quarter of this year, compared with the marginal 0.6 per cent drop for HDB resale flats.

This means that HDB flat owners own an asset that has appreciated to more or less record value, at a time when the prices of mid-tier condos have dropped to affordable levels.

Now, the jump from public to private home ownership has always been a tantalising proposition.

But is this really the right time for an HDB upgrader to buy?

The answer, say property experts, depends on two things - when the condo unit the upgrader is buying will be completed, and what view he takes of the Singapore property market over the next couple of years.

Let me explain.

Unlike an investor who is buying for rental yield, the HDB upgrader typically moves out of his HDB flat and into his new condo unit. This means that he sells his flat only when the new condo unit is completed and ready for occupation.

Therefore, it makes the most sense for an upgrader today to buy a completed unit - because he can sell his flat now for a relatively high price and buy the new private condo unit on the cheap.

The problem is that there aren’t many completed suburban developments on the market. Most new condos approaching completion today are in the prime districts, which were the focus of the property boom two years ago.

And the handful of suburban developments that are close to completion aren’t that attractively priced, so the HDB upgrader isn’t getting that good a deal on them.

The fact is: The cheapest suburban condo units today are those being sold ‘off plan’, meaning that they will be completed only two or three years later.

For HDB upgraders who buy these types of condo units, the fact that they can currently can get a good price for their HDB flats is moot, because they will sell their flats only two or three years down the road.

That brings me to the second point that HDB upgraders must consider before signing on the dotted line.

What will the global economy and the Singapore property market look like in two or three years’ time, when these projects are due for completion?

Home buyers today can no longer rely on the now-defunct deferred payment scheme introduced in 1997. This allowed buyers to pay a 10 or 20 per cent downpayment, and defer taking a bank loan until the project was completed.

Developers have replaced this with the ‘interest absorption scheme’. Here, the buyer also pays an initial 20 per cent downpayment and defers the rest until the property is completed.

But the big difference now is that the minute buyers commit to a property, they have to take a loan with a bank which the developer has selected. The developer then foots the bill for the buyer in interest payments to the bank during the construction period.

This arrangement carries new risks for the home buyer.

Firstly, if a developer goes under, it will no longer be able to pay the regular interest payments and the bank will go to the buyer for these payments.

This seems quite an unlikely scenario in Singapore as developers who offer this scheme generally have the financial muscle to ride out the tough times. Still, the risk of this happening is higher with smaller developers.

Secondly, the bank reserves the right to revalue a property at any point during the construction, or when the project is completed.

So if the property market heads further south, a bank may revalue properties downwards. This means that it will likely reduce the sum it had earlier agreed to lend to the buyer, who will then have to stump up a hefty sum of cash to make up the difference.

On the one hand, experts say banks are unlikely to revalue properties as long as buyers are able to make the monthly payments. Unlike high-end properties where prices could crash in as little as three months, prices of suburban units are less volatile, say analysts.

But on the other hand, if the market really crashes, HDB upgraders could be hit by a double whammy. They will have to fork out more cash to top up their loans at a time when the values of their resale flats would most likely have crashed along with the general market. And if they back out of buying the new flat, they will lose a 20 per cent deposit.

In the worst-case scenario, they could be saddled with two mortgages for properties, both in negative equity.

Such an optimistic gamble on the future is not for the faint-hearted nor the financially prudent, especially when unemployment is hitting a record high.

But if an HDB upgrader truly has the financial strength to hold on to his properties indefinitely for the long term, it could be a gamble that will pay off when the market finally recovers.

These are sums that one must do carefully, no matter how beautiful and attractive floor plans and showflats now look.

Source : Straits Times - 15 Apr 2009

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

Swift response to Gallop Gables units

Posted by goldenpeace on 14-AApr-2009

INVESTORS made a dash for high-end residential development Gallop Gables after The Straits Trading Company offered a two- year guaranteed rental yield of 7 per cent on 10 units there last week.

Not only did the company let go of all 10 units at the freehold Farrer Road estate in three days, it managed to sell another 16 without providing a rental guarantee. Prices of the 26 units ranged from $3,075,200 to $3,840,000, fetching an average of $1,220 psf.

The ‘overwhelming response’ was surprising because sales in the high-end property sector have been weak since the financial crisis erupted, said Straits Trading’s executive vice- president Eric Teng.

Even though the rental guarantee applied on just 10 apartments, ‘we were still able to sell more units because our prices were reasonable and competitive and we have an excellent well-maintained product’, he said.

Located near the Botanic Gardens, asking prices at the 12-year-old Gallop Gables have dropped in the last few months. Straits Trading put up two blocks of apartments for sale in July last year with a price tag of about $1,500 psf.

‘Feedback from prospects and buyers suggest that with less than one per cent per annum (from) fixed deposits in banks today, a yield of 3 to 4 per cent per annum and above in property rental is still an attractive proposition,’ Mr Teng added.

According to him, buyers were mainly locals in their mid-thirties to late- seventies. Most bought the units for investment though a few said they might move in when the rental guarantee ends.

The situation indicates that well-located high-end properties can still sell with good advertising, said Chesterton Suntec International’s head of research and consultancy Colin Tan.

‘It shows what clever marketing and publicity can do . . . Of course, the property itself is good.’

Encouraged by the response, Straits Trading is ready to sell more units at Gallop Gables but it is raising prices by up to 10 per cent. The new prices are ’still reasonable’ compared with those a year or two ago, said Mr Teng.

Units available for sale are ‘limited’ but the company prefers not to disclose the number as it is still monitoring the property market.

Source : Business Times - 14 Apr 2009

Wednesday, April 8, 2009

2009 Q1 saw only 10 investments in Singapore's property market

Posted by goldenpeace on 08-Apr-2009

Singapore’s investment property market was quiet in the first quarter of the year, as the global recession continues.

The first three months of 2009 saw only 10 investment transactions, compared to 15 in the fourth quarter of last year.

All the deals were below S$40 million.

Real estate adviser DTZ said all the investment sales in the first quarter took place in the private sector.

This is partly due to the fact that government land sales through the confirmed list had been suspended and no reserve site was triggered.

DTZ added that private sales are expected to dominate for the rest of this year.

In addition, it said total investment sales plunged 58 per cent to S$153 million in the first quarter of this year.

This is the third lowest amount since 1998.

DTZ said residential investments contributed the most in total sales at 46 per cent in the first quarter.

The office sector was next with 34 per cent of total sales in the same period.

Investment sales in the industrial sector on the other hand fell the most in the quarter.

It dropped by 80 per cent to S$25 million.

DTZ’s senior director for investment advisory services and auction, Shaun Poh, said, “Activity in the investment market could pick up in the late part of the year when the economy is expected to recover and lending conditions ease. The market is not short of interested investors with money on hand, looking for prime properties.”

DTZ noted however, that there’s currently a mismatch in bid-ask prices, hampered by tight credit and expectations of falling rents.

Source : CNA - 8 Apr 2009

Monday, April 6, 2009

Verdure @ Holland Road

Location: Holland Road
Tenure: Freehold
Expected Completion: Dec 2014
Site Area: approx 76,635 sq ft
Total Units: 75 (69 apartments & 6 strata villas)

Unit Types:
2 Bedroom ~ 947 to 1,076sqft
3 Bedroom ~ 1,421 to 1,464sqft
4 Bedroom Maisonatte ~ 1,679 to 1,765sqft
3 Bedroom Penthouse ~ 1,711 to 1,733sqft
4 Bedroom Penthouse ~ 2,239 to 2,260sqft
5 Bedroom Strata Villas ~ 3,552 to 3,918sqft

Facilities:
~ Swimming Pool
~ Steam Room
~ Jacuzzi
~ BBQ Area
~ Function Room
~ Gymnasium

Key Features:
~ Single-loading
~ Units are mostly N-S orientation
~ Private lift lobby for all units
~ Generous balcony as an extension of space from the living - “Bungalows in the sky”
~ All strata villas come with private jacuzzi
~ No restriction on foreign ownership of villas
~ Last few plots of Freehold land with true Holland address
~ All units come with views towards the greenery of Good Class Bungalows’ zone

Nearby Amenities:
~ 5-star conveniences with an array of exciting shopping and entertainment amenities
~ Mins to Orchard, Dempsey Hill & Bontanical Garden
~ Close proximity to Holland Village & Food Centre
~ Near to upcoming Farrer MRT
~ Easy access to PIE & AYE

Sunday, April 5, 2009

Collective sale impetus fizzles out

Posted by goldenpeace on 05-Apr-2009

The once fever-hot collective sale market is now stone-cold, and property experts predict it will take at least five years for transactions to reach the pitch seen before.

At the height of the property boom in 2007, 116 collective sales were completed. This figure was whittled down to just eight last year, after the onslaught of the global economic crisis.

There was no collective sale done in the first three months of this year.

Industry players expect the market to stay dormant in the coming months as developers remain mindful of the lukewarm response to new residential launches and have also to contend with high construction costs and tighter credit measures.

Mr Steven Ming, Savills Singapore’s director for investment sales, said: ‘At this point, developers are not on an acquiring mode, not until they have cleared their inventory of apartments bought over the last few years.’

Most collective sale sites put up for tender late last year have closed without any bids.

They include Spanish Village in Farrer Road, Villa delle Rose off Holland Road and Elizabeth Towers in Mount Elizabeth.

Two months ago, developer Jewel 1 pulled out 20 days before a planned $44 million purchase of Cairnhill Heights. It cited ‘difficult, uncertain and deteriorating market conditions’ for its decision.

Property experts, however, said low- to mid-range properties may be the one bright spark in the property market.

Mr Ming said the popularity of recently launched ‘mass market’ condominiums like Caspian and Mi Casa showed that there was still a healthy demand for cheaper, suburban projects.

Mr Karamjit Singh, managing director of Credo Real Estate, noted that the eight collective sale projects which found buyers last year were of lower value.

The experts agreed that any return to the collective sales peak in 2007 was not possible for now.

Mr Ming said: ‘Right now, I don’t see any return of significant interest in en bloc sales, not until the economic outlook becomes more certain.’

Source : Sunday Times - 5 Apr 2009

Wednesday, April 1, 2009

Property prices down in Q1

Posted by goldenpeace on 01-Apr-2009

Prices for private property and public housing fell steeply in the first three months of the year.

In the Housing and Development Board (HDB) resale market, the first drop since 2006 was seen.

HDB’s flash estimate, based on its Resale Price Index, showed a decline of 0.6 per cent in the first quarter compared to the fourth quarter of last year, which had registered a 1.4 per cent increase.

As for private residential property, flash estimates from the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) showed prices were down 13.8 per cent in the three months to March.

That was more than twice as steep as the six per cent decline in the fourth quarter of last year.

Based on geographical regions, prices in the “rest of central region” fell the steepest, at more than 17 per cent compared to 6.2 per cent in the fourth quarter.

Prices of non-landed private residential properties decreased by 15.2 per cent in the “core central region”, much higher than the 6.5 per cent fall seen in late 2008.

Prices “outside the central region” fell 7.5 per cent, compared to the 5.9 per cent drop seen in the previous quarter.

The flash estimates are compiled based on transaction prices given in caveats lodged during the first ten weeks of the quarter, supplemented by information on the number of new units sold.

Source : CNA - 1 Apr 2009

Tuesday, March 31, 2009

Developers' Q1 09 pte homes sales at 2,000 to 2,200: CBRE

Posted by goldenpeace on 31-Mar-2009

Developers sold between 2,000 and 2,200 new private homes in the first three months of this year, estimates property consulting group CB Richard Ellis. This is the highest sales volume since the third quarter of 2007.

‘The return of sales volume shows that some liquidity has returned to the market and underlying demand remains healthy. Wary of the impact of the economic recession on job security, as well as stricter bank loan approvals, buyers zoomed in on new homes.

Shoe box units in city- fringe locations were popular. Projects such as Alexis, Nova 88 and The Mercury sold well, at prices ranging between S$900 per square foot (psf) and S$1,200 psf for unit sizes of 340 square feet (sq ft) to 750 sq ft. The majority of them were sold at an absolute quantum of less than S$600,000 per unit,’ CBRE said in a release on Tuesday.

The projects with the highest number of units sold in Q1 2009 were Caspian (550 units sold), Alexis (293 units), Double BayResidences (250 units) and The Quartz (178 units),CBRE said. All four condos are located near MRT stations.

Source : Business Times - 31 Mar 2009

New risks emerge for property companies

Posted by goldenpeace on 31-Mar-2009

Credit crunch, price uncertainty affecting firms, says E&Y

Real estate companies face new and growing risks amid the downturn in the world economy, says Ernst & Young (E&Y).

‘The credit crunch, fluctuations in global economies and resultant pricing uncertainty are affecting real estate companies globally, including those in Singapore,’ says E&Y Singapore’s assurance partner and market leader for real estate Liew Choon Wai.

Many local developers have overseas portfolios, including in emerging markets, and a major concern is the economic vulnerability of these markets and possible changes to local regulations as a result, he says.

Another source of potential concern is the real estate investment trust (Reit) sector. ‘Should the economic downturn be prolonged or worsen, we expect some form of consolidation in this sector, especially with its refinancing needs and the continuing pressure on rents.’

As for residential property, E&Y continues to see a ‘rebalancing of selling prices and judicious timing of property launches’, Mr Liew says.

E&Y’s 2009 real estate business risk report itemises the top 10 risks faced by the industry as ranked by leading analysts.

The greatest concern is continued uncertainty and the impact of the credit crunch. As E&Y points out, the real estate sector has felt tighter credit conditions perhaps more than any other industry.

Restrictions on availability of credit and the short-term inability to deploy capital at acceptable levels of return have ‘paralysed’ the industry’s transactions sector, says E&Y’s global infrastructure and construction leader Michael Lucki.

‘The only lending today is on deals with 50 per cent loan to value and at rates 200 to 400 basis points higher than six months ago, whereas towards the end of 2007 most loans were at 80-90 per cent loan to value,’ he says.

But some lenders may be on the lookout to move real estate related assets off their books fast, paving the way for forward-thinking companies to develop strategies to take advantage of distressed assets and debt situations.

Besides volatility and a lack of credit, other risks for the real estate sector seen by E&Y are: the impact of ageing or inadequate infrastructure; the worldwide war for talent; changing demographics; the inability to find and exploit global and non-traditional opportunities; pricing uncertainty; the green revolution, sustainability and climate change; and volatile energy costs.

Still, E&Y’s global and Americas real estate leader Howard Roth still believes there is a lot of capital on the sidelines waiting to take advantage of distressed real estate opportunities when the time is right.

‘A structured, comprehensive due diligence programme will be more important than ever as buyers and sellers evaluate their opportunities,’ he says.

Source : Business Times - 31 Mar 2009

Monday, March 30, 2009

HDB lease buyback scheme draws interest

Posted by goldenpeace on 30-Mar-2009

Madam Cheng Ai King has lived in the same three-room Housing Board flat in Serangoon Central for the last 23 years.

At 67, she still works as a school canteen helper, earning $30 a day. She could use some extra cash, but she has no wish to leave the familiarity of her neighbourhood.

‘I have lots of good neighbours and my flat is conveniently located,’ said Madam Cheng, who lives alone now, after her three grown children moved out.

So, when HDB officers at a community event told her about a new scheme that will give her an income for life, and allow her to stay on in her home, her interest was piqued.

This Lease Buyback Scheme was launched on March 1, and the HDB has been on an outreach drive since, to get elderly residents to understand how it works.

Eligibility is limited to those aged 62 and above, and living in three-room flats or smaller.

About 25,000 households are eligible. Under the scheme, the HDB will buy back the tail-end of a flat’s lease at market rate, leaving a 30-year remaining lease.

A home owner under the scheme receives upfront a lump sum of $5,000 and a certain monthly annuity payout for life.

Yesterday, about 400 seniors were at Toa Payoh West Community Club to meet Education Minister and MP for Bishan-Toa Payoh GRC, Dr Ng Eng Hen. Dr Ng, who is also Second Minister for Defence, said the scheme would be useful for older Singaporeans who may have stopped working early or did not have an opportunity to save enough in their Central Provident Fund accounts.

‘Some used their money for their homes, some helped their children to buy homes. They may not have a steady income for life.’Dr Ng said many residents told him on his rounds that they are comfortable where they are and do not wish to move or downgrade to a smaller flat.

Some value their privacy and do not wish to sublet rooms. ‘If they don’t like the other options, this is very attractive,’ he said. HDB will run exhibitions at six other locations in the next month, including MacPherson, Queenstown and Kaki Bukit.

Source : Sunday Times - 29 Mar 2009

Black & White bungalows beckon

Posted by goldenpeace on 30-Mar-2009

Housing budgets at the top end have been slashed, but limited supply make these black-and-white bungalows built during the British colonial periods in the early 1900s coveted lifestyle homes for expatriate families

JUST LAST MONDAY, Brandon and Gabrielle Batagol, together with their three young children, Zac, nine, Mathilde, seven, and Brigitte, four, moved into their brand-new black-and-white bungalow on Tanglin Road. Originally from Melbourne, the family had been living in a serviced apartment at Great World for the past two months. Brandon is a shareholder and director of one of the leading dairy trading companies in Australia. He was the founder and managing director of the company before moving to Singapore to expand the company’s Asian business.

Black-and-white bungalows were built during the British colonial period in the early 1900s, and are characterised by their sprawling gardens, white-washed exterior walls with black timber frames, arched driveways and spacious interiors with high ceilings and wood flooring. And, they are much sought after by expatriate families.

It appears they are one property type that is still relatively resilient in the current market downturn, unlike condominiums. Listening to the Batagols, one understands why. “It’s a dream,” says Brandon, gesturing at his new home. “But you have to be lucky because they don’t become available too often. It’s all about demand.”

After looking at almost 100 homes since last September — ranging from apartments to good class bungalows (GCB), and black-and-white bungalows, Gabrielle says, “I was open to anything, but I kept coming back to the black-and-whites.” In their first attempt last month at bidding for such a bungalow under the SLA open-bidding system, the Batagols did not secure the bungalow at 30 Malcolm Road — three of the top five bids came in above $20,000. When the next property — the black-and-white on Tanglin Road — came up for bidding, the Batagols had already done their research and armed with their earlier experience, secured the bungalow with the highest bid of $20,189 a month, according to the SLA open bidding results (see table).

SLA introduced the open-bidding system for new tenancies of its residential properties in late 2007 to increase transparency. When its residential properties become available for rent, they are posted on the SLA website. Rental rates are determined by market forces with guide rents provided to assist bidders, says Teo Cher Hian, SLA’s director of land lease (private) division. Prior to that, tenancies were awarded on a first-come first-served basis under a waiting list or balloting system.

“State-owned black-and-white properties are a unique product in the residential market,” says Teo. Also, they are in very limited supply, with just 300 units scattered across Singapore today, mainly in Adam Park Estate, Alexandra Park, Lornie Road, Seletar Airbase and Sembawang. Demand for such bungalows has remained relatively healthy and their occupancy rate is still over 90% today.

Despite the current market scenario of softening rents, the blackand- whites continue to see “good response”, says DTZ, the marketing agent for the black-and-white bungalow at 25 Nassim Road. It was put up for lease in the open bidding system, with bidding to start on March 30 and closing on April 3. The guide rent is $13,500 a month. Gabrielle says some of her friends who have visited her new house are now looking to bid for the one at Nassim.

RENTAL STABILITY

Apart from their charm, the other draw of black and whites is that, being state-owned, their rental rates are perceived to be more stable than those of houses that are privately owned. “What we heard is that with SLA as the landlord, they are much more understanding and much more realistic,” says Brandon. “So, even in a down market, the rate would be adjusted downward accordingly, and conversely, in a rising market, rentals are not going to jump by 100%, so it’s much more secure.”

Brandon, who has many friends who have already lived in Singapore for the last three to five years, is familiar with the story of expatriates’ rental woes when the property market was booming two years ago. “What happened to them was that they would have a lease of, say, $10,000 for two years, and when the lease was up, their landlord would increase their rent by 70% to 80%,” he says. “So, a $10,000-a-month lease suddenly became $18,000 a month, and they couldn’t afford it. Or, some of them had $20,000-a-month leases, and suddenly it was $35,000 a month and they had to move out.”

The Batagols have also done their research on how much they need to invest in their new home and budgeted how much it will cost to maintain it. Having friends already living in such black-and-whites also helps. Many of these houses have just basic lighting and ceiling fans. The new tenants have to install their own airconditioning units, wardrobes for the bedrooms, water heaters, telephone lines, Internet connection, swimming pool, pool deck and gazebo. “We’re investing in a lifestyle,” says Brandon. “We can’t do this in Australia, and even in Singapore, it’s unusual as well.”

One drawback about living in a black-and-white house is that after investing in all the fittings, when the tenants leave, they are required to reinstate the house to its original condition — that means removing the airconditioning units, the water heaters, the phone connections, and even the swimming pool and pool deck. For instance, the same company that installed the swimming pool for the previous tenants, and then took it out, is back at the house installing a bigger pool for the Batagols. “We’re spending quite a bit of money to make everything good quality, and when we leave, an option would be to sell it to the new tenants,” says Brandon. However, that’s subject to an assessment by one of the three agents appointed by SLA — EM Services, DTZ or United Premas.

There is also a cluster of 33 such state-owned black-and-white bungalows in the Mount Pleasant area, and these are managed by The Ascott Group, the serviced apartment arm of CapitaLand. Called The Heritage, they also continue to see strong demand “as they are rich in character and history, and are set in a lovely environment”, says Gerald Lee, CEO of Ascott Hospitality, the hospitality management arm of The Ascott Group. Given the limited number of such bungalows, they are popular with diplomats and senior executives of MNCs, says Lee. According to him, like the other black-and-whites elsewhere, those in Mount Pleasant also enjoy close to full occupancy.

Instead of a softening in rents, Lee says, rents have increased for renewals — some by “double-digit percentages”. However, he points out that these double-digit percentage increments were mainly for renewal of tenancies signed in 2005 and 2006, when rental rates were still relatively low. Current montly leases for the bungalows in the Mount Pleasant area are said to range from $20,000 to nearly $40,000.

Rental rates at Mount Pleasant are said to be based on various factors, including benchmarking with SLA’s black-and-white bungalows of a similar category and location, as well as demand. “We will monitor the market closely before making suitable adjustments to rents,” says Lee. “These black-and-white bungalows have a charm of their own,” says Sandy Sin, head of corporate leasing and the Regal Homes team at Knight Frank. “Many are homes to the CEOs of multinational firms.”

GCB RENTS DECLINE

The number of black-and-whites is dwindling as they are being torn down to make way for new construction — for instance at Seletar to make way for the Seletar Aerospace Park, an industrial park for aerospace companies. Hence, the number has been reduced from 500 to 700 such bungalows two years ago, to just 300 today.

The closest comparison to the black-and-whites in the private-housing market are GCBs, which have a minimum land area of 15,070 sq ft. There are around 2,000 to 2,500 GCBs today, and the number will only increase through the subdivision of larger GCB plots. Housing agents in the GCB market are seeing housing budgets for senior expatriate executives being slashed as well. This is especially noticeable when leases come up for renewal, says Knight Frank’s Sin.

For instance, those currently staying in palatial GCBs with rents of $30,000 to $32,000 a month are now looking at rents of $25,000 to $27,000 a month. Meanwhile, those currently paying $25,000 to $28,000 a month are looking at the $20,000 to $22,000 bracket. “There are very few who are now looking at rents of $25,000 and above,” she says. “The most common is now in the $20,000 to $22,000 range, and even that number is limited.”

SLA’s Teo is of the opinion that it isn’t appropriate to compare state bungalows with privately owned GCB as they have different attributes and, unlike the GCB market, “we have not discerned any significant changes, neither in the demand nor the bids for them”.

In the Gallop area, a GCB with land area of around 16,000 sq ft and builtup area of 5,500 sq ft to 6,000 sq ft is still asking for $28,000 to $30,000 a month in rent, while a GCB of similar size in Cornwall Gardens is asking for $26,000 a month, says Knight Frank’s Sin. “We’re trying to manage the expectations of GCB landlords and preparing them to accept lower rents, especially for leases that are coming up for renewal,” says Sin.

Patrick Lai, associate director of corporate residential leasing at Savills Singapore says he hasn’t seen a significant drop in demand for GCBs among senior expatriate executives yet. Just two weekends ago, he closed on the lease of a GCB with a land area of 16,000 sq ft in Mount Echo Park for close to $30,000. In February, he also housed a new expatriate tenant in a GCB on Swettenham Road with a monthly rent of $30,000. The highest rent he’s ever transacted was for a GCB in the Holland area that was leased at $45,000 a month just last September. It was a lease renewal from $27,000 a month previously, says Lai.

Lai predicts rental rates of GCBs will drop 15% this year. However, he does not see rental rates of GCBs nosediving the way it has for luxury condominiums. “The bottom line is that it all boils down to demand and supply,” he says. There are a limited number of GCBs, and therefore they will be able to hold better in terms of rents, reckons Lai. In contrast, newly completed condominium projects yield several hundred new units each, with numerous landlords competing for tenants. “And, that immediately puts pressure on rental rates.”

State-owned black-and-white bungalows are even more niche, and the rents for such bungalows of the same size are generally lower than GCBs in the same location, concedes Savills’ Lai. However, with asking rents of GCBs softening and 15,000 sq ft to 16,000 sq ft GCBs now asking for $22,000 a month versus $27,000 six months ago, “tenants have more choices than before — it’s a tenants market now”, says Lai. “Two years back, and even a year ago, it was still a landlord’s market,” he adds.

With expatriate housing budgets having dropped about 20% this year, “it will all balance out,” says Lai. “For sure, housing allowances have been adjusted downward, but [landlords’] sentiments and expectations have also been revised downward.”

To Lai, the litmus test on the health of the GCB market will be in June, which is the end of the school year for international schools. “I expect to see some movement then,” he says. For the black-and-whites, it will be when leases come up for renewal.

As for the Batagols, the family is looking forward to settling into their new home in Tanglin with its 5,457 sq ft double-storey house, a sprawling 59,202 sq ft garden and a brandnew swimming pool. “It’s a dream come true to have a house with a nice big area with a lot of green, where the children can run around or cycle when they come home from school,” says Brandon.

Source : The Edge - 29 Mar 2009

Sunday, March 29, 2009

New, cheaper private condos see brisk sales

Posted by goldenpeace on 29-Mar-2009

Despite the recent slump in the property market, new private properties are still being snapped up in the market.

Last month’s sales of new private homes jumped to 1,323 units, harking back to the days of the property boom, said observers.

In January, only 108 units were sold.

The figure was largely propped up by two newly launched heartland condominiums - the 293-unit Alexis at Alexandra Road and the 517-unit Caspian in Jurong.

Prices started from $450,000 at Alexis and $340,000 at Caspian.

‘Developers probably realised after January’s dismal sales that they had to lower their prices, while buyers noticed these discounts and decided to buy,’ said PropNex’s corporate communications manager Adam Tan.

According to CBRE Research executive director Li Hiaw Ho, the majority of last month’s buyers were HDB upgraders who put buying on hold while home prices surged in 2006 and 2007.

He estimated that private home sales this month would come up to about 400 to 600 units, bringing the total number of units sold to 1,800 to 2,000 for the January to March quarter.

‘A few projects are still selling fairly well, but they are not as large-scale as the projects launched last month,’ said Mr Li, who predicted that sales figures are likely to hover around 500 to 700 units a month for the second quarter of the year.

Developments that are anticipated to do well this month include Waterfront Waves in Bedok, which was first launched last year but relaunched in the middle of March, and Mi Casa condominium in Choa Chu Kang, which analysts are expecting to be launched at the end of the month.

They have 457 and 405 units respectively.

The rate of new launches this month is likely to be similar to last month’s, said Dr Chua Yang Liang, the head of research and consultancy at Jones Lang LaSalle Singapore.

‘This is backed by housing developers’ confidence in the latent demand by genuine homebuyers, encouraging them to release more,’ he said.

However, the islandwide take-up rate this month could dip as the market has been rather temperamental, especially in light of the volatile global stock market performance, he said.

So when is the right time to buy?

‘Many people ask that question but they should really be asking themselves where they want to buy, what they are buying it for, and what are their risk profiles,’ said PropNex’s Mr Tan.

‘Don’t buy blindly just because the price is good. As some of these places have two or three years till their completion, one should also consider the property’s surroundings, such as existing or future infrastructure. Go into this investment with about five to 10 years in mind.’

Source : Sunday Times - 29 Mar 2009

Friday, March 27, 2009

CDL sells 60 units in The Arte at Thomson

Posted by goldenpeace on 27-Mar-2009

CITY Developments Ltd (CDL) sold about 60 apartments at its 336-unit project The Arte at Thomson last weekend.

The developer said yesterday that the average selling price was $880 per sq foot (psf). It released 100 units during the ‘private preview’ and will release more this weekend.

The freehold project comprises two-, three- and four-bedroom apartments, as well as penthouses. Most of the units sold last weekend were smaller two- and three-bedders.

Unlike other recently launched projects, units at The Arte are large, which means buyers have to fork out more.

For example, two-bedders are 1,055 sq ft and three-bedders range from 1,399 sq ft to 1,625 sq ft. Assuming $880 psf for a two-bedder, the price of the smallest unit would be $928,400.

But according to CDL general manager Chia Ngiang Hong: ‘The Arte offers superb value for a prime freehold property in the Thomson area. Buyers get a luxurious condo without paying a premium price.’

CDL is offering an interest absorption scheme.

Analysts expect more projects to be launched in coming weeks as developers try to capitalise on a recent surge in buying interest. They sold 1,323 new private homes last month - eleven times more than in January. Numbers are expected to be strong for March as well, on the back of sales at The Arte, and at UOL Group and Kheng Leong’s Simei condominium Double Bay Residences, where more than 200 units were sold this month.

Amid the buying surge, BT understands that Far East Organization is set to launch its mass market project Mi Casa. The 457-unit development near Choa Chu Kang MRT is expected to be popular with HDB upgraders in neighbouring estates.

Separately, Tee International and Hup Soon Global said that they are teaming up with a Bangkok-based company for the Singapore launch of a freehold luxury condominium located in the Thai capital. The Surawong will be launched this weekend at the Grand Hyatt Hotel here.

Source : Business Times - 27 Mar 2009

How to participate in an auction sale

Posted by goldenpeace on 27-Mar-2009

LOOK out for advertisements in the classified pages as auction houses usually advertise one to two weeks before the scheduled auction date.

~ Alternatively, you can call the auction house and ask to be put on its mailing list so that you are kept posted of the auctions on a regular basis.

~ Call the auctioneer to make an appointment for viewing.

~ Obtain a copy of the property’s particulars and conditions of sale, that is, whether it is to be sold with tenancy/vacant possession and the completion period for the sale.

~ Do your homework. Check the valuation figure with the bank and the quantum it is prepared to finance. Some banks have mobile teams who can visit your home and are able to revert within three days with an in-principle approval for your loan.

~ Determine the price that you are willing to bid for the property and discuss it with the auctioneer.

~ Arrive early on the day of the auction to get a seat so that you can bid in comfort. Due to the overwhelming response, latecomers may not be able to get into the auction room.

~ Bring your cheque book and identity card as you have to pay the deposit and sign the sale and purchase agreement immediately if you are the successful purchaser.

Source : Business Times - 26 Mar 2009

Thursday, March 26, 2009

Sifting for gems

Posted by goldenpeace on 26-Mar-2009

There’s nothing like a quiet property market to start looking for that dream house. Or to begin doing research on buying that investment property which can turn into a cash cow to help see one through the golden years. With attractive loan packages offered by banks and interest absorption schemes extended by developers, some potential home buyers may find they can make the numbers work for them.

Tenants may also look forward to renewing leases at more earth-bound rental rates, whether it’s for condos or prime offices.

But do your homework before getting carried away with the euphoria of wanting to strike a good deal with your landlord. Office occupiers in particular will have to take into account considerations like pressures to cut costs immediately even though the leases may expire only next year. A mutually beneficial lease restructuring could result in a win-win situation for both tenant and landlord.

And for those eyeing overseas properties, a mix of price declines and currency movements could make an appealing cocktail. For instance, London residential real estate prices have fallen 20-30 per cent from the bubble heights in late 2007. Combined with a weak sterling, prices for Singaporeans and other foreign investors are at 40 to 60 per cent discounts from the top.

Articles in this supplement should provide you some guidance in your quest to unearth real estate gems during this slump.

Of course, it would be wise to adopt an investment time-frame of at least five to seven years. As even some veteran developers advise from time to time, buying a property should be a long-term commitment, not a short-term flip motivated by prospects of reaping overnight gains. This lesson is being learnt all too painfully once again.

Source : Business Times - 26 Mar 2009

Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Govt reviewing ways to strengthen regulation of housing agents

Posted by goldenpeace on 24-Mar-2009

SINGAPORE : The government is reviewing ways to strengthen the regulatory framework for housing agents.

Speaking in Parliament on Tuesday, Senior Minister of State for Finance and Transport, Lim Hwee Hua, said government bodies - including the Housing and Development Board and the Finance Ministry - are carrying out a review on how to raise the overall professional standards of housing agents here.

Mrs Lim said: "The government notes that the current state of the industry is not satisfactory. Indeed there have been frequent complaints against unscrupulous housing agents. Amongst other things, there is a need for greater control by the housing agencies over the conduct of agents."

The assessment will cover areas such as qualification and training requirements as well as a dispute resolution mechanism.

It will also look at an enforcement framework against agencies with errant agents.

Mrs Lim said the government will announce details when the review is completed.

Source - 938LIVE/ms

Monday, March 23, 2009

Rents in prime areas head south

Posted by goldenpeace on 23-Mar-2009

Tenants looking for apartments in prime districts are having it good as rents there head south.
Right now, rentals of these units are falling faster than those in the mass market.

Among the reasons: New supplies have entered the market. A number of new condominiums have sprung up in prime districts - many of which have been bought by investors planning to rent out their units - in the past year.

Also given the economic downturn, some expatriates are leaving while others have their housing budgets cut. So landlords in prime districts 9, 10 and 11 face the need to bring down their rents come renewal time so as to keep their tenants.

Prime rents are now halfway through heading south, said Cushman & Wakefield Singapore managing director Donald Han.

‘We expect the rents in districts 9, 10 and 11 to come down by close to 15 per cent this year,’ he said.

‘From the middle of last year till now, they would have fallen by 15 per cent to 20 per cent. We are seeing an outflow (of expat tenants), not an inflow. It’s a net exodus.’

Rents in non-prime and suburban areas have also fallen by 15 per cent to 20 per cent and are set to slip by another 10 per cent this year, said Mr Han.

It will be a comparatively smaller fall because there are not as many units available for rent in these areas compared with prime areas, he said.

Another property consultancy, Jones Lang LaSalle, said residential rents have fallen by about 10 per cent to 30 per cent across the island so far this quarter, compared with last year’s fourth quarter.

Rents of prime properties have dipped by an average of 15 per cent quarter-on-quarter, it said.

There was additional pressure on rents at The Sail, a huge 1,111-unit condominium in downtown Marina Bay, as more and more units entered the leasing market, said Jones Lang LaSalle’s head of residential, Singapore, Ms Jacqueline Wong.

Unit owners started collecting their keys from the middle of last year.

For instance, the transacted rents for one-bedroom units of 690sq ft in size now stand at $3,200 a month, down from $4,500 in June last year, said MsWong.

Other recently completed condos include Domain 21 in Delta Road, The Beacon in Cantonment Road, The Azure in Sentosa Cove and St Regis Residences in Tanglin.

Condos like Rivergate in Robertson Quay have just joined the list, offering plenty of new units for lease.

There is increasing rental pressure on the still vacant units in recently completed prime projects, such as the super-luxurious, 173-unit St Regis, where a lot of units, including large penthouses, are up for rent.

Anecdotal evidence suggests the St Regis rents start at $7,500 for the smallest three-bedroom, 1,507 sq ft unit and $20,000 for the 3,757 sq ft, four-bedroom unit, which will put the starting rents for such sizes at just between $5 per sq ft (psf) and $5.30 psf a month.

Jones Lang LaSalle Research’s average rent record for Grange Residences, a prime but slightly older condo, is at $6.20 psf per month at the end of last year.

‘There are now too many apartments chasing too few tenants,’ said Chesterton Suntec International’s head of research and consultancy, Mr Colin Tan.

In particular, the older prime condos that developers bought collectively and are now keeping for lease are suffering more, as their conditions may not warrant market rents, experts say.

The rental market for private homes is in ‘a state of flux’ at the moment, said Mr Tan.

‘The rental you are quoted this month can and does change, so much so that some tenants whose leases are expiring soon are seeking temporary extensions - three to six months - to their current lease before settling on something more permanent. The savings can be substantial,’ Mr Tan said.

Given this situation, Mr Han advised landlords to be flexible.

‘Sometimes, it is better to find a tenant who is willing to take up the property early at a slightly reduced rental than to keep it empty.’

Property consultants say that, for now, high-end homes are still able to secure tenants as falling rents have attracted new tenants.

‘We are seeing some movements of tenants from outside the central area coming in,’ said Mr Han.

But the falling rents of such flats may result in more owners dipping into their own pockets to help foot their monthly mortgage payments instead of relying on just the rent.

Currently, with mortgage rates still reasonably attractive, landlords should still be able to cover much of their instalment payment at today’s rentals, said Mr Han.

‘However, for the high-end properties completing in the second half of this year, the potential rental income may not be sufficient to cover mortgage payments,’ he said.

Source : Sunday Times - 22 Mar 2009

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